Australia vs Sri Lanka Prediction Odds and Tips

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Tournament2023 Cricket World Cup
Timetable16th October at 09:30 GMT
PredictionSri Lanka to win
OddsSri Lanka to Win @ 3.50
BookmakerSpreadex Sports
Sri Lanka to win
The best odds
Spreadex Sports
Odds : 3.50
Bet £100 and win £350.00 if Sri Lanka win.

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Kwiff Sports
Odds : 3.25
Bet £100 and win £325.00 if Sri Lanka win.

While we may still be in the early stages of the 2023 Cricket World Cup, the clash between Australia and Sri Lanka on Monday, 16th October is arguably a must-win encounter for both sides. After all, the Baggy Greens and the Lions have each lost their opening two WC games, and it will be hard for either team to qualify for the knockout stages if they incur another defeat. But which side are the best cricket betting sites tipping to win, and who do I think will prevail at the Ekana Cricket Stadium in Lucknow? Let’s find out!

💯 Australia vs Sri Lanka Betting Odds

Before you engage in cricket online betting, it’s important to explore the latest Australia v Sri Lanka odds across a broad range of wagering markets.

Match Winner Odds: Australia vs Sri Lanka

The Aussies have been well beaten by India and South Africa so far, while their 134-run defeat to the Proteas was their heaviest ever World Cup loss. However, they’re the ante post favourites to beat Sri Lanka, who despite batting quite well in their games against South Africa and Pakistan, look largely devoid of form and confidence.

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Sri LankaTBC3.50TBC3.253.50

Top Batsman Odds: Australia v Sri Lanka

Sri Lanka have actually outperformed the Aussies with the bat in the WC so far, scoring well over 300 in each of their innings and posting two centuries (scored by Kusal Mendis and Sadeera Samarawickrama). Australia were also skittled for 177 by South Africa last time out, while Marnus Labuschagne is their top scorer in the tournament with just 73 runs at an average of 36.50.


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Steve Smith4.004.00
David Warner4.334.00
Marnus Labuschagne6.006.50

Sri Lanka:

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Kusal Mendis3.603.50
Kusal Perera5.004.50
Pathum Nissanka5.504.60

Top Wicket Taker Odds: Australia v Sri Lanka

Neither team’s bowlers have excelled in the CWC so far, with Sri Lanka’s Dilshan Madushanka the most prolific with four wickets (at an average of 36.50). However, Australia still boast the world’s best ODI bowler in Josh Hazlewood, while Mitchell Starc (who was the Aussies best performing bowler at the last two World Cups) and spinner Adam Zampa are also ranked in the top 10.


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Mitchell Starc4.334.00
Adam Zampa4.334.50
Josh Hazlewood5.005.00

Sri Lanka:

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Maheesh Theekshana3.603.75
Dilshan Madushanka4.754.50
Lahiru Kumara4.755.00

🔍 Australia v Sri Lanka Match Winner Prediction

Australia have largely dominated their historic head-to-head with Sri Lanka, winning 63 of the 103 ODIs contested. However, while Sri Lanka have only triumphed 36 times, they’ve also won three of the last four and managed to claim a 3-2 series victory over the Aussies in Pallekele and Colombo last summer. This also reaffirms that SL are far more competitive in Asian conditions, as they’ve beaten Australia 18 times at home and experienced defeat on just 15 occasions.

Ultimately, the toss and pitch conditions could be key in Lucknow, where the average first innings score in just 188 and the bounce has historically been uneven. While the pitch was relaid after the 2023 IPL, it’s likely to remain slow and conducive to turn, and this may suit a Sri Lankan side that has a much larger and more varied selection of spinners to choose from. So, I’m tipping the underdogs to spring a surprise here and leave the Aussie’s WC campaign in tatters!

My Australia v Sri Lanka winner prediction: Sri Lanka to win!

✔️ Australia v Sri Lanka CWC Betting Tips

Of course, backing the likely match winner here is just one betting market you can explore ahead of the Australia v Sri Lanka clash. So, here are some expert online cricket betting tips to help you navigate these successfully!

Match Winner: Sri Lanka to Win

Not only do Sri Lanka have an historical edge at home and in the type of conditions found on the subcontinent, but they’ve arguably looked far more potent with the bat than the Aussies during the 2023 CWC so far. They plundered 326 in defeat against South Africa in their tournament opener, for example, while they were only beaten by Pakistan’s record chase of 345 in Hyderabad (after posting 344/9). Kusal Mendis has also smashed 198 tournament runs so far at a staggering strike rate of 166.39, so I’m backing SL to win with Spreadex Sports at ante post odds of 3.50.

Australia’s Top Batsman Winner: Steve Smith to Win

Australia’s top order has misfired so far, and even top scorer Marnus Labuschagne’s 73 runs have been scored at a sluggish strike rate of 63.48. However, Steve Smith at least looked in relatively good touch during his brief, 16-ball cameo against South Africa, while was unlucky to be given out following a delivery that appeared to be drifting down the leg side. Smith’s ODI pedigree is also unquestionable, while his record in India has produced 601 runs in 16 innings at an average of 40.06. Currently, Spreadex Sports are also offering competitive odds of 4.00 on Smith top scoring for the Aussies.

Sri Lanka’s Top Batsman Winner: Kusal Mendis to Win

I’ve already touched on Mendis’ superb form in India so far, as he followed up an explosive, 42-ball 76 against South Africa with a score of 122 in defeat against Pakistan. He averages 99.00 from his two WC innings so far, while he has previously struck 453 runs in 11 ODI innings against the Aussies at an exceptional average of 50.33. He averages 47.20 in India during his career too, with this combination of form and pedigree making him an excellent pick as SL’s top batsman against the Baggy Greens. Kwiff Sports are also offering competitive odds of 3.60 on Mendis top scoring, but this price could shorten in the coming days.

Australia’s Top Wicket Taker: Glenn Maxwell to Win Top Wicket Taker

Mitchell Starc and Josh Hazlewood have been Australia’s best bowlers so far, but seamers may struggle to be impactful on the slow and turning wicket at Lucknow’s Ekana Cricket Stadium. The really bad news for the Aussies is that their sole front line spinner in India has struggled so far, with Adam Zampa taking just one wicket for 123 runs in 18 overs. Even part-time spinner Glenn Maxwell has performed better during the 2023 World Cup, with his two wickets coming at an average of 33.50 and economy rate of just 3.72. So, there’s some value in backing Maxwell to be the Aussies’ best bowler here, with Kwiff Sports offering odds of 6.00 on this outcome.

Sri Lanka’s Top Wicket Taker: Maheesh Theekshana to Win Top Wicket Taker

The loss of talismanic bowler Wanindu Hasaranga prior to the tournament was a huge setback for Sri Lanka, with 23-year-old off-spinner Maheesh Theekshana the most likely to fill this significant void. While he missed out in the first match against South Africa, he added a little control and variation against Pakistan, taking 1-59 from his 10 overs bowled. A career record of 45 wickets in 28 ODIs at 24.24 is also indicative of his immense promise, and he’s good value to lead the Sri Lankan charge with the ball in Lucknow. Spreadex Sports are also offering odds of 3.75 on Theekshana doing just that!

🎁 Australia v Sri Lanka

Below, I’ve listed some free bets, no deposits promotions that can help you to make the most of the above wagering markets. Just be sure to check each offer’s T&Cs before you opt-in and deposit your cash!


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Read our full bookmaker reviews for the best Cricket betting sites.

📰 Team News for Australia v Sri Lanka

SL fast bowler Matheesha Pathirana has already been ruled out of the match against the Aussies with a shoulder injury, while batsman Kusal Perera may also be unavailable with a similar complaint. To keep pace with latest team news and interviews from both camps, check out the official Twitter feeds below.

Australia News

Sri Lanka News

📺 Previous Australia v Sri Lanka Highlights

These two sides last did battle in a five-match ODI series last summer, with Sri Lanka leveraging home advantage to win 3-2. Below, you can watch highlights of the first ODI in Pallekele, which Australia won by two wickets after a thrilling finale!

⚡ Australia v Sri Lanka Prediction Overview

While the Aussies are the overwhelming favourites to beat Sri Lanka in Lucknow, the side have been desperately disappointing with both bat and ball in the World Cup so far. While Sri Lanka’s bowlers have also struggled to take wickets and stop their opponents scoring, they’ve fared much better with the bat and have one of the tournament’s in-form players in Kusal Mendis. The pitch at the Ekana Cricket Stadium is also likely to be slow and liable to turn, which should suit Sri Lanka’s spinners and afford them a potentially crucial edge!

1️⃣ When is this Australia v Sri Lanka World Cup Match?

Australia and Sri Lanka will meet at the Ekana Cricket Stadium in Lucknow on Monday, 16th October, with the match scheduled to start at 09:30 GMT.

2️⃣ Who Will Win This Australia v Sri Lanka Match?

Despite the Aussies being odds-on favourites to win here, Sri Lanka are in slightly better form with the bat and have far greater depth in their spin bowling department. So, my cricket match prediction for this game is that Sri Lanka win earn a surprise and much needed win.

3️⃣ Where Can I Bet on Cricket Matches?

You can bet on Australia v Sri Lanka and all Cricket World Cup matches at any of the sportsbooks recommended above. Just compare each one in detail before making your choice!

4️⃣ What is the Best Cricket Bet?

In this match, I think there’s value in backing underdogs Sri Lanka to win at 3.50 with Spreadex Sports. You can also back spinner Glenn Maxwell to be Australia’s top bowler at an average price of 6.00.

5️⃣ What Payment Methods Can I Use to Bet on Cricket?

There are plenty of fast and secure cricket payment methods available at the best sportsbooks, including Visa debit, PayPal, Skrill and even bank transfer. Just remember that the exact range of payment methods will vary from one bookie to another!

Sri Lanka to win

✒️Lewis Humphries - iGaming and Sports Betting Expert

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Lewis is an iGaming and sports betting writer from the UK, while he retains a strong passion for various sports including cricket, football, horse racing and rugby. He has also written content and predictions in the sports betting niche for 10 years now, while he has extensive knowledge of tournaments, teams and players from across the globe. He’s an avid England cricket fan too, but you can rely on him to be impartial and objective when predicting the outcome of the Three Lions’ matches in India!